Bitcoin profit metric eyes 2-year lows in complete reset

By Kevin GiorginDecember 6, 2025 at 11:46 PM GMT+01:00Edited by Josh Sielstad

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant change as Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped below the $90,000 mark, prompting a shift in the behavior of long-term holders. Recent analysis indicates that these holders are losing interest in selling their assets as profitability diminishes. This trend suggests a major reset in market dynamics, particularly among those who have held Bitcoin for an extended period.

Bitcoin SOPR Ratio reaches its lowest level since early 2024

According to insights from an on-chain analytics platform, the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) metric, which gauges the profitability of Bitcoin transactions, is showing a notable decline. The SOPR Ratio, which compares the profitability of long-term holders (LTHs) to short-term holders (STHs), has fallen to 1.35, marking its lowest level since the beginning of 2024. This drop coincided with Bitcoin’s recent price correction to approximately $89,700.

This shift indicates that long-term holders have effectively abandoned their selling habits as the price of Bitcoin has decreased. The analysis highlights that it is now primarily short-term holders who are engaging in profitable transactions, contrasting the previous trend where long-term holders dominated the market.

Speculative traders react erratically to Bitcoin price fluctuations

The reaction from Bitcoin speculators has been somewhat erratic in light of the recent price movements. Data shows that the net position of short-term holders experienced a sharp increase around November 24, only to flip negative shortly after on December 1. This volatility reflects the confusion and uncertainty within the market as traders respond to the fluctuating price of Bitcoin.

As Bitcoin continues to navigate its price corrections, the behavior of speculative traders is becoming increasingly unpredictable. The recent changes in their positions highlight the challenges faced by those attempting to capitalize on short-term market movements.

Long-term holders change selling strategies in response to market conditions

The current market conditions have led to a significant change in the selling strategies of long-term holders. With profitability dwindling, many of these holders are choosing to hold onto their assets rather than engaging in sales. This behavior marks a clear departure from previous trends where long-term holders would frequently sell in response to price movements.

This shift in strategy suggests a broader market cool-down, as long-term holders seem to be waiting for more favorable conditions before considering any sales. The analysis indicates that this could signify the end of heavy distribution by long-term holders, as they reassess their positions in light of current profitability metrics.

Short-term holders now dominate profitable Bitcoin transactions

With long-term holders stepping back from the market, short-term holders have emerged as the primary group responsible for profitable transactions. This shift is significant as it indicates a changing landscape in Bitcoin trading dynamics. The analysis suggests that short-term holders, who typically engage in more speculative trading, are now leading the charge in realizing gains from their investments.

This trend could have implications for the overall market, as the actions of short-term holders often contribute to increased volatility. As they react to price changes, their trading decisions can influence market sentiment and further impact Bitcoin’s price movements.

In conclusion, the recent analysis highlights a pivotal moment in the Bitcoin market. The changes in selling behavior among long-term holders, alongside the erratic reactions of short-term speculators, suggest a significant reset in market dynamics. As Bitcoin navigates these challenges, both investors and builders in the crypto space will need to adapt to the evolving landscape.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.